Weekly Weigh In: Ceasefire, Yea Right, Europe Protests, Sanction Rumor?, Trump Walkout and Portuguese Disaster
We’ve just witnessed a fragile ceasefire to say the least
- The biggest story: a temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran after weeks of escalation.
- Fighting had already spread regionally, including massive Israeli strikes in Lebanon.
- The situation is still extremely unstable—talks are ongoing and could collapse.
This ceasefire has simply allowed for a change in the pace of escalation. It provides the USA a moment to re-establish itself after taking heavy hits against its Arab allies and momentarily stabilize energy markets.
Right after this announcement, literally minutes after–Iran continued to bomb Israel.
This, a long with the a ceasefire during the ongoing Ukraine war, is simply a moment to count one’s chickens and reestablish a plan at the drawing board. My hunch is that Iran understands this.
Vance a couple days later has said, “The bad news is that we have not reached an agreement… We go back to the United States having not come to an agreement.”
Two weeks is just a pause.
Europe protests, again
civil unrest in Europe over fuel shortages
- Fuel shortages and price spikes are already causing protests across Europe:
- Ireland: roads blocked, army on standby
- Norway & France: similar demonstrations
For Europe, this is nothing new as they are in a perpetual crisis–however it’s difficult to see how they’re going to escape this energy crisis given the fact they’re now forced to buy expensive energy from the USA after the sabotage of Nordstream II.
ANTIFA, the communist group in Milan have been kicking off again too
Interestingly, a friend shared a very interesting video with me arguing how family structures and the ideology of families is strongly correlated to political philosophy and the shape of governance models. As you can see, areas of Italy are strangely adoptive of the same ideologies that somewhere like China would hold–leading to it being more plausible they would support communism or big government principles. Just a little finding I thought you’d find interesting.
Sanctions…Released? Rumor
US AUTHORIZED THE RELEASE OF $6B USD IN FROZEN IRANIAN FUNDS, WITH QATARI AND SOUTH KOREAN REPRESENTATIVES SAID TO BE ARRANGING THE TRANSFER WITHIN DAYS
What is going on here? At this point it’s only a rumor. The latest stage was that this capital was frozen in South Korean banks and that some of it was moved to Qatari banks for holding under US sanctions. This would be very interesting if it were true–but I thought it was interesting enough to share.
Humor
The other day I saw a post that read "The Epstein files were so bad that it forced the government to fake another moon landing and begin World War 3"
Trump is a Huge Fight Fan
But is America a Trump fan still? We can spot the difference here in the reaction in only 1 year apart.
I think people are sick of Trump’s antics–his contradictions, lies, and unhinged speeches have worn even his most enthusiastic supporters thin. I truly wonder to what extent people support him no matter what however. What do you think?
Open Door Consultancy Told You Not To Do It–This is Why
Portugal in 2021: “Invest EUR 500k, naturalize in 5 years”. This was the path that was sold as a solid idea and one of the best options. It was often advertised as not having to live in Europe either, offering the most mobility.
In 2025: Portugal unfairly changed their tune. “We took 4 years to process your application. We put golden visa investors at the back of the line for ideological reasons and political debates. But don’t worry, we’ll count your wait time toward your naturalization timeline.”
Now, this year, they’ve changed it again saying, “We changed the law, so now you’ll only be eligible for naturalization in 2035, and the time spent waiting won’t count after all. Oh, and the processing time for naturalization is itself another 3 years. So you can look forward to a Portuguese passport in 2038, 17 years after you invested. Anyway, thanks for the half a million euros into our economy that we’ll get taxing right away!”
I advised against going into these golden visas that grifter Andrew Henderson was selling to unsuspecting people–The European Union is a dying entity from every angle; they are closing the doors on everybody there– to spend significant capital and time in this location is a miscalculation for 99% of people.
Till next week!
